2012 NBA Draft Lottery Odds

The NBA Draft Lottery will be held on May 30th.

Odds of winning the 2012 NBA Draft Lottery are listed below. Team rankings based on standings as of the end of the regular season. If teams finish the season with the same record, they are given the average between the two. If three teams ties, add the 3 odds together then divide by 3. The draft lottery drawing only determines the top 3 positions, the remaining 4-14 picks are the inverse order of the final standing for the non-playoff teams.

Updated April 28th - final standings and after tie-breakers
1. Charlotte Bobcats - 250 combinations, 25.0% chance of receiving the #1 pick
2. Washington Wizards - 199 combinations, 19.9% chance
3. Cleveland Cavaliers - 138 combinations, 13.8% chance
4. New Orleans Hornets - 137 combinations, 13.7% chance
5. Sacramento Kings - 76 combinations, 7.6% chance
6. Portland Trail Blazers (via NJ) - 75 combinations, 7.5% chance
7. Golden State Warriors - 36 combinations, 3.6% chance
8. Toronto Raptors - 35 combinations, 3.5% chance
9. Detroit Pistons - 17 combinations, 1.7% chance
10. New Orleans Hornets (via Min) - 11 combinations, 1.1% chance
11. Portland Trail Blazers - 8 combinations, 0.8% chance
12. Milwaukee Bucks - 7 combinations, 0.7% chance
13. Phoenix Suns - 6 combinations, 0.6% chance
14. Houston Rockets - 5 combinations, 0.5% chance

#		1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th	7th	8th	9th	10th	11th	12th	13th	14th
1	250	0.250	0.215	0.178	0.357
2	199	0.199	0.188	0.171	0.319	0.123
3	156	0.156	0.157	0.156	0.226	0.265	0.040
4	119	0.119	0.126	0.133	0.099	0.351	0.160	0.012
5	88	0.088	0.097	0.107		0.261	0.360	0.084	0.004
6	63	0.063	0.071	0.081			0.439	0.305	0.040	0.001
7	43	0.043	0.049	0.058				0.599	0.232	0.018	0.000
8	28	0.028	0.033	0.039					0.724	0.168	0.008	0.000
9	17	0.017	0.020	0.024						0.813	0.122	0.004	0.000
10	11	0.011	0.013	0.016							0.870	0.089	0.002	0.000
11	8	0.008	0.009	0.012								0.907	0.063	0.001	0.000
12	7	0.007	0.008	0.010									0.935	0.039	0.000
13	6	0.006	0.007	0.009										0.960	0.018
14	5	0.005	0.006	0.007											0.982